Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Hull
23.9%
Draw
19.7%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Hull
vs
1.03
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).