Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Salford
23.5%
Draw
41.0%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Salford
vs
1.53
Swindon
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).