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04 Oct 2019 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Caen
25.7%
Draw
34.4%
Chateauroux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Caen

vs
1.13

Chateauroux

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).