Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.0%
Pisa
12.2%
Draw
4.7%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Pisa
vs
0.62
Lecco
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.546.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
12.0%
4-0
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
5.1%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).