Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Famalicao
26.7%
Draw
17.9%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Famalicao
vs
0.65
Farense
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
2-0
12.6%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).