Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
Notts County
18.3%
Draw
14.7%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Notts County
vs
0.90
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).