Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Boston Utd
29.2%
Draw
25.6%
Yeovil
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Boston Utd
vs
0.99
Yeovil
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).