Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Samsunspor
34.0%
Draw
22.2%
Kasımpaşa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Samsunspor
vs
0.92
Kasımpaşa
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.0%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).