Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Pescara
25.1%
Draw
29.0%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Pescara
vs
1.39
Crotone
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).