Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Pacos Ferreira
27.0%
Draw
36.7%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.17
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).