Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Marseille
20.4%
Draw
30.8%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Marseille
vs
1.58
Lyon
Markets
BTTS68.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).