Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Holstein Kiel
18.4%
Draw
64.8%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Holstein Kiel
vs
2.60
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS68.0%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
2-3
5.0%
1-4
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
3.8%
2-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).