Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Nott'm Forest
26.3%
Draw
16.1%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.76
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).