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DHT: 01CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.8%
Barrow
19.4%
Draw
63.8%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

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vs
2.09

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.3%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
6.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).