Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
Milan
16.4%
Draw
7.5%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Milan
vs
0.52
Pisa
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.9%
1-0
14.6%
3-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.4%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-0
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).