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AHT: 01CSV

06 May 2022 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.4%
Alessandria
30.2%
Draw
30.4%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Alessandria

vs
1.10

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).