Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Haugesund
24.3%
Draw
29.6%
Lillestrøm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Haugesund
vs
1.24
Lillestrøm
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).