Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Southend
27.3%
Draw
13.4%
Kidderminster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Southend
vs
0.60
Kidderminster
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
14.0%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).