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AHT: 11CSV

06 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Stenhousemuir
34.0%
Draw
35.2%
Peterhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Stenhousemuir

vs
1.14

Peterhead

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.8%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).