Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
St. Gilloise
24.6%
Draw
11.4%
Mechelen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
St. Gilloise
vs
0.56
Mechelen
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
15.0%
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).