Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Granada
24.3%
Draw
34.1%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Granada
vs
1.38
Almeria
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).