Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Barnstaple Town
35.7%
Draw
21.7%
Larkhall Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Barnstaple Town
vs
0.55
Larkhall Athletic
Markets
BTTS24.9%
Over 0.577.1%
Over 1.542.5%
Over 2.518.1%
Over 3.56.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.9%
1-0
21.5%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
5.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
2-2
1.5%
4-0
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).