Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Amorebieta
27.8%
Draw
30.6%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Amorebieta
vs
1.04
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).