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DHT: 01CSV

21 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.8%
Fylde
24.7%
Draw
51.5%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Fylde

vs
1.83

Solihull

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
0-3
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
2-3
3.5%
2-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).