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DHT: 00CSV

09 Sept 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.2%
Cordoba
24.7%
Draw
18.1%
Alcorcon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Cordoba

vs
0.77

Alcorcon

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.0%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).