Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.7%
Porto
15.2%
Draw
7.1%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Porto
vs
0.68
Estoril
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
11.0%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).