Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.4%
Portsmouth
11.9%
Draw
6.6%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Portsmouth
vs
0.60
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
8.0%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
3.3%
0-1
2.8%
5-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).