Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Tenerife
28.8%
Draw
37.4%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Tenerife
vs
1.14
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).