Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Valladolid
28.1%
Draw
56.3%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Valladolid
vs
1.41
Getafe
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.3%
0-0
13.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
2-0
2.4%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).