Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Portimonense
23.6%
Draw
32.9%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Portimonense
vs
1.33
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).