Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Konyaspor
36.1%
Draw
26.0%
Erzurum BB
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Konyaspor
vs
0.95
Erzurum BB
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.7%
0-0
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).