Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Morecambe
25.4%
Draw
52.5%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Morecambe
vs
1.48
Colchester
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).