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19 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.2%
Charlton
25.1%
Draw
25.7%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Charlton

vs
0.92

Stockport

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).