Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Sociedad
22.7%
Draw
18.8%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Sociedad
vs
0.99
Leganes
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).