Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Tranmere
18.6%
Draw
62.4%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Tranmere
vs
2.29
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-1
8.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-3
7.3%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-3
4.4%
1-4
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
0-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).