Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Plymouth
25.9%
Draw
21.0%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Plymouth
vs
0.78
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).