Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Lorient
18.7%
Draw
14.9%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Lorient
vs
0.81
Red Star
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.0%
4-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).