Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Cittadella
32.8%
Draw
36.6%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Cittadella
vs
1.10
Benevento
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.9%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).