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05 Oct 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.5%
Elversberg
23.1%
Draw
20.4%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Elversberg

vs
1.17

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS60.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
3-2
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).