Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Sheffield United
22.0%
Draw
12.1%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Sheffield United
vs
0.71
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
12.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).