Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Harrogate
23.1%
Draw
58.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Harrogate
vs
1.67
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).