Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Augsburg
31.1%
Draw
36.3%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Augsburg
vs
1.14
Mainz
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).