Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Middlesbrough
27.1%
Draw
35.8%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Middlesbrough
vs
1.40
Coventry
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).