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AHT: 01CSV

03 Mar 2021 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.5%
Bordeaux
16.1%
Draw
69.4%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Bordeaux

vs
2.64

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS63.2%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.1%
1-3
8.0%
0-2
7.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-1
6.7%
0-1
6.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-4
4.6%
2-3
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
2-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).