Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Almeria
25.5%
Draw
39.4%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Almeria
vs
1.51
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).