Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.1%
Crawley Town
19.7%
Draw
22.2%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Crawley Town
vs
1.16
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).