Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.7%
Paderborn
21.5%
Draw
11.8%
Sandhausen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Paderborn
vs
0.76
Sandhausen
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).