Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Tottenham
25.5%
Draw
45.8%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Tottenham
vs
1.83
Brentford
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
0-1
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
0-3
4.0%
2-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).