Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.7%
Sunderland
23.1%
Draw
9.2%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Sunderland
vs
0.52
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
16.0%
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).