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DHT: 00CSV

13 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.6%
Karlsruhe
22.6%
Draw
55.7%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Karlsruhe

vs
2.10

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS63.9%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.3%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.5%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).